[KongchangAI]
Unverified50% confidenceOpinionExact time

There is a key disagreement over whether LLMs can exhibit System 2 capabilities: one side holds that System 2 capabilities are already implicit in the weights and only need appropriate prompting or compute budget to be elicited, while the other side holds that what the model learns is merely the surface form of reasoning rather than a transferable reasoning core; there is currently no conclusion.

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50%
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Long-term
Relevance
10/16/2026
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