Unverified50% confidencePredictionExact time
If complete recovery becomes reality, Starship's cost per kilogram to orbit will fall further, with knock-on effects for satellite deployment, deep space exploration and even crewed lunar landing plans.
1
Sources
50%
Confidence
Long-term
Relevance
10/20/2026
First Seen
Sources
Related Entities
Related Claims
UnverifiedSpaceX's Falcon 9 has compressed the cost per kilogram to orbit from approximately $20,000 to the $2,000–$3,000 range through first-stage vertical recovery and reuse.67% similarUnverifiedMusk has publicly stated that the target cost per launch for a fully reusable Starship is under $1 million, with the cost per kilogram potentially dropping to the order of $10.66% similarUnverifiedThe per-kilogram cost to orbit for traditional expendable rockets can be as high as thousands to tens of thousands of dollars, while Starship's goal is to compress this figure to the tens-to-hundreds-of-dollars range.65% similarUnverifiedThe Falcon Heavy and the Starship currently under development are expected to further reduce the cost of reaching orbit to the order of hundreds of dollars.65% similarUnverifiedNASA航天飞机在1981–2011年实践了轨道飞行器复用，但每次翻新成本高达数亿美元65% similar
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