Unverified50% confidenceOpinionExact time
P(doom) refers to the probability that AI will destroy humanity, usually on a ten-year horizon; for the average American the median is close to zero, while in AI labs it is at least in the double digits.
1
Sources
50%
Confidence
Medium-term (~90 days)
Relevance
10/26/2026
First Seen
Valid until: 1/24/2027
Sources
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