Unverified50% confidenceFactExact time
良好判断计划在IARPA主导的「聚合条件估计」（ACE）竞赛中以约30%的持续优势领先CIA等专业情报分析机构
1
Sources
50%
Confidence
Long-term
Relevance
7/7/2026
First Seen
Sources
AI超级预测者：机器能否超越人类专家的预测能力？
hackernewshackernews7/6/2026
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