Expired50% confidenceFactExact time
Predictions about the AGI timeline range from 'within 5 years' to 'by the end of this century'.
1
Sources
50%
Confidence
Short-term (~14 days)
Relevance
9/2/2026
First Seen
This claim has expired. It is kept for the record and no longer describes the current state.
Valid until: 9/16/2026(expired)
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Related Claims
UnverifiedA 2022 AI Impacts academic survey showed that researchers predicted the median time for AGI to arrive to be around 2059.79% similarVerifiedGartner's 2024 report placed Agentic AI near the Peak of Inflated Expectations, predicting it will still take 2–5 years to reach the Plateau of Productivity.73% similarUnverifiedInstitutions such as OpenAI and DeepMind generally believe that AGI may be achieved within the 2030s.72% similarUnverified科技界对实现真正AGI的时间预测分歧巨大，从5年内到50年以上都有严肃研究者支持71% similarUnverifiedHassabis has publicly stated on multiple occasions that artificial general intelligence (AGI) may emerge within the next decade, and that human society is not yet prepared for it.70% similar
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