Unverified50% confidenceFactExact time
Precision bias refers to the tendency for people to assign higher credibility to statements containing precise numbers; experiments show that subjects rated the credibility of "41.3%" significantly higher than "approximately 40%".
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50%
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Long-term
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9/4/2026
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UnverifiedResearch shows that when humans assign 90% confidence, their actual accuracy rate is often only around 70%, indicating a systematic overconfidence79% similarUnverifiedSelf-Consistency通过多次采样推理路径后投票取多数答案，可进一步提升准确率约5-10个百分点78% similarUnverified研究表明人类评估者在判断LLM输出的事实准确性时，正确率往往只有50%-70%76% similarUnverifiedIn financial statements, character accuracy may be as high as 99%, but semantic accuracy may be less than 50%.72% similar
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