Unverified50% confidenceSolutionExact time
The study found that even when prompts explicitly instruct the model to answer from a prospective perspective, the model is still influenced by outcome information already present in the context, and physical truncation is the effective means of blocking hindsight bias.
1
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50%
Confidence
Long-term
Relevance
9/15/2026
First Seen
Sources
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Related Claims
UnverifiedModels tend to focus on the beginning (Primacy Effect) and end (Recency Effect) of the context, exhibiting a U-shaped attention curve.78% similarUnverifiedBy keeping the scene constant and only replacing the key object in controlled comparative experiments, the model's physical reasoning capabilities can be observed under controlled conditions.76% similarUnverifiedWhen models are exposed to the complete timeline, they exhibit stable, hindsight-sensitive answer shifts, tending to provide answers consistent with known outcomes but not reasonable at the decision point.76% similarVerifiedReasoning models perform internal Chain-of-Thought before returning final results, consuming large amounts of tokens and computation time in exchange for deeper understanding and lower error rates.76% similar
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