Verified75% confidenceFactExact time
Calibrated confidence means that when the system gives a score of 0.9, the probability of being correct should be close to 90%.
3
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75%
Confidence
Long-term
Relevance
9/27/2026
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UnverifiedOn reasoning-based question-answering tasks, the strongest closed-source models achieved accuracy exceeding 90%.76% similarVerifiedIf the probability of the AI making a correct decision is 90%, blindly following the AI's decisions 10 times in a row yields a final accuracy rate of only approximately 35% (0.9 to the power of 10).76% similarUnverifiedThe human baseline accuracy is 90.8%.76% similarUnverified即便单字符识别准确率达到99%，对于一个包含10个字符的字段，其整体正确率也仅约90%，这被称为"准确率衰减效应"75% similarVerifiedIn a well-calibrated model, an output score of 0.8 should statistically correspond to an actual accuracy of 80%.75% similar
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