[KongchangAI]
Unverified50% confidenceBenchmarkExact time

On July 10, 2025, METR published a randomized controlled trial: 16 senior open-source developers handled 246 tasks on real repositories, and after using AI tools they were actually 19% slower, despite prior expectations of a 24% speedup and post-hoc self-reported estimates of a 20% speedup.

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50%
Confidence
Long-term
Relevance
10/6/2026
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