Polymarket

The most well-known prediction market platforms in the United States include Kalshi and Polymarket.

Polymarket was previously penalized by the CFTC for providing services to U.S. users without registration.

Using only information available at listing time (title, description, resolution source, metadata), contract information achieved an out-of-sample R² of 0.747 for log trading volume.

This study used near-complete data on 802,863 resolved markets on Polymarket between January 2023 and May 2026.

The base rate of disputed-resolution markets on Polymarket is 0.31%.

After the platform's listing format changed, the AUC for predicting whether a market would reach $1,000 in trading volume dropped from 0.940 in the same period to 0.577 in the cross-period test.

The study is based on full data from a single platform, and the transferability of its conclusions to other prediction markets still requires further verification.

Polymarket's 'best Chinese AI company by end of October' market prices Xiaomi at 60%, Alibaba at 16%, and Moonshot at 14%, with DeepSeek absent.

Polymarket's core business is to let users bet on the outcomes of future events.

Currently available first-hand information is quite limited; the specific evidence of the original tip, the scale of accounts involved, the scale of funds and Polymarket's official response have not been presented, and the tip should be regarded as a "claim pending verification" rather than an established fact.

The esports audience is young, highly active online and frequent users of social platforms, and discussions around match results carry strong emotions and high interactivity, making it an ideal scenario for testing paid communication strategies.

Vercel officially disclosed that 150,000 teams now run Python backends on Vercel, including companies such as OpenAI, Polymarket, and Exa.

Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market built on the Polygon blockchain, where users use the USDC stablecoin to buy shares of event outcomes, with prices between 0 and 1 US dollar directly corresponding to the market-implied probability.

When subscribing to the Polymarket market channel, the CLOB-level token ID must be used rather than the contract address.

Polymarket provides a public market WebSocket channel with the endpoint wss://ws-subscriptions-clob.polymarket.com/ws/market for pushing real-time order book and trade updates.

The Polymarket market channel is subscribed to via asset IDs (also known as token IDs), and each outcome has its own independent token ID.

Polymarket is a blockchain-based prediction market platform running on the Polygon network.

In Polymarket, share prices fluctuate between $0 and $1, representing the implied probability of that outcome occurring.

Each outcome in a Polymarket market corresponds to an independent ERC-1155 token (token ID).

Polymarket's order matching is handled by an off-chain matching engine called the CLOB (Central Limit Order Book), with settlement to the chain occurring only after a trade is executed.