Concept陪审团定理 / 孔多塞陪审团定理
Condorcet's Jury Theorem
A theorem in probability theory and political science stating that if each voter independently has a greater than 50% probability of being correct, the probability that the majority decision is correct increases toward certainty as the number of voters grows. The theorem rests on the assumption that voters make their judgments independently of one another.
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Sep 23
The statistical basis for the credibility of majority voting, the Condorcet Jury Theorem, requires that voters be mutually independent, and the error correlations among LLM reviewers violate this premise.
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