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Prompt Lottery

Refers to the phenomenon in which LLM-as-a-Judge evaluation is highly sensitive to semantically equivalent but syntactically different prompt rephrasings, leading to verdict drift and inconsistency.

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Oct 30

A study titled "Prompt Lottery in LLM-as-a-Judge: Measuring and Mitigating Sensitivity to Syntactic Rephrasing" reveals that semantically equivalent prompt variants with different wording cause LLM judges to give inconsistent verdicts, and the researchers named this phenomenon Prompt Lottery.

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Oct 30

In model leaderboards, A/B tests, or academic comparisons, if only a single prompt is relied upon, rankings may flip due to minor wording changes.

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