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Conceptsafety stock

Safety Stock

A buffer stock quantity in inventory policy used to absorb demand variability and lead-time uncertainty during the lead time, calculated from the demand standard deviation, the lead-time standard deviation, and the target service level.

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Oct 18

Service level is usually defined as the probability of not stocking out during the lead time (e.g., 95%), or the proportion of demand met within a cycle (fill rate); the higher the service level, the greater the required safety stock and the more cash tied up.

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Oct 18

The classic safety stock formula is: safety stock = z × sqrt(lead time × demand variance + average demand² × lead time variance).

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Oct 18

The safety stock formula assumes demand is approximately normal and independent, but actual demand is often intermittent, trending, or seasonal, in which case more robust methods such as bootstrap or quantile regression should be used.

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