Unverified50% confidenceFactExact time
Traditional numerical models often can only give 'skill-less' forecasts close to the climatological mean state in the 2-6 week subseasonal time window.
1
Sources
50%
Confidence
Long-term
Relevance
10/14/2026
First Seen
Sources
Related Entities
Related Claims
UnverifiedThe 2-6 week subseasonal timescale is recognized by the meteorological community as the "forecast desert" and is a recognized difficulty in international meteorological research.78% similarUnverifiedThe meteorological community typically divides forecasts by timescale into three categories: medium-range weather forecasting (about 0-15 days), subseasonal forecasting (about 15 days to 60 days), and seasonal climate prediction (months to more than a year).71% similarUnverifiedThe upper time limit for deterministic weather forecasting is generally considered to be approximately two weeks69% similar
Cite This Claim
Stable URI
https://kongchang.com/claim/1029160API
curl https://kongchang.com/api/v1/knowledge/claims/1029160MCP
get_claim(id=1029160)