Unverified50% confidenceOpinionExact time
The trust ladder concept holds that if an Agent has a 90% probability of doing things right, you might be able to run 50 Agents at once; if it reaches 95%, the number you can run rises significantly.
1
Sources
50%
Confidence
Medium-term (~90 days)
Relevance
10/27/2026
First Seen
Valid until: 1/25/2027
Sources
Related Entities
Related Claims
UnverifiedThe author recommends designing the Agent's confidence threshold as follows: execute autonomously above 90%, present an intermediate state for user confirmation between 60% and 90%, and below 60% forcibly acknowledge uncertainty without guessing.76% similarUnverifiedResearch shows that when humans assign 90% confidence, their actual accuracy rate is often only around 70%, indicating a systematic overconfidence68% similarUnverifiedA 95% confidence level means that if the same methodology were used to conduct 100 surveys, approximately 95 of them would produce results falling within the margin of error.66% similarUnverified讲者认为评估AI编程代理应关注80%、90%、99%成功率下的数据而非常被引用的50%成功率版本，因为99%才意味着可信赖并委托给模型65% similarUnverifiedSuccess rate should be measured per transaction with retries allowed, rather than per single run — an Agent with a 50% single-run success rate can achieve a per-transaction success rate of approximately 94% when up to 4 retries per transaction are allowed.65% similar
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