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Person

Sarah Paine

A historian whose research covers international relations and geopolitics, and who frequently analyzes the interaction between trade policy and security arrangements through historical case studies.

Timeline (last 90 days)

Oct 26

Using the Ukrainian battlefield as an example, Paine pointed out that Russia pushed Ukrainians into a death trap, but Ukrainians did not abandon resistance as some observers expected; instead, they displayed astonishing resilience.

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Oct 26

Paine believes that unlimited war is conceptually simple (the objective is simply regime change) but extremely difficult to execute, because putting an opponent in a death trap will inspire a will to resist beyond imagination.

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Oct 26

Strategic scholar Sarah Paine proposed the fundamental difference between unlimited war objectives and limited war objectives: the objective of unlimited war is regime change, while the objective of limited war is specific limited demands.

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Oct 26

Paine said the United States could have executed Hirohito at the end of World War II but chose to keep him because he was useful to the United States.

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Oct 26

Paine believes that the difference between unlimited war and limited war lies not in the intensity of the means but in the fundamental arrangement of the postwar political order: the endpoint of unlimited war is that the old regime no longer exists, while limited war means coexistence with the old regime.

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Oct 21

Historian Sarah Paine's analysis points out that Britain's abandonment of the Thirteen Colonies in North America was the result of a global strategic trade-off, rather than a purely military failure.

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Oct 19

Sarah Paine's analysis argues that the Smoot-Hawley tariffs, through the chain reaction of shrinking global trade, intensified Japan's sense of existential anxiety and ultimately became one of the indirect factors pushing it toward war.

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Oct 1

Paine argues that Japan did not have sufficient military manpower to fight the war to its conclusion, but did assemble sufficient financial resources.

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Oct 1

Historian Sarah Paine argues that the outcome of the Russo-Japanese War was largely determined by international credit markets rather than the battlefield, and that Russia's fundamental reason for seeking peace was its inability to afford the cost of the war.

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Sep 30

The conflict escalation chain proposed by Paine: bilateral miscalculation in a civil war → third-party intervention → war escalates into regional and potentially global risk → the winning side overreaches past the culminating point of victory → a third party is triggered to intervene again → the conflict spirals further out of control.

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6 more timeline events

All Facts (16)

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Using the Ukrainian battlefield as an example, Paine pointed out that Russia pushed Ukrainians into a death trap, but Ukrainians did not abandon resistance as some observers expected; instead, they displayed astonishing resilience.

50%
Unverified

Paine believes that unlimited war is conceptually simple (the objective is simply regime change) but extremely difficult to execute, because putting an opponent in a death trap will inspire a will to resist beyond imagination.

50%
Unverified

Strategic scholar Sarah Paine proposed the fundamental difference between unlimited war objectives and limited war objectives: the objective of unlimited war is regime change, while the objective of limited war is specific limited demands.

50%
Unverified

Paine said the United States could have executed Hirohito at the end of World War II but chose to keep him because he was useful to the United States.

50%
Unverified

Paine believes that the difference between unlimited war and limited war lies not in the intensity of the means but in the fundamental arrangement of the postwar political order: the endpoint of unlimited war is that the old regime no longer exists, while limited war means coexistence with the old regime.

50%
Unverified

Historian Sarah Paine's analysis points out that Britain's abandonment of the Thirteen Colonies in North America was the result of a global strategic trade-off, rather than a purely military failure.

50%
Unverified

Sarah Paine's analysis argues that the Smoot-Hawley tariffs, through the chain reaction of shrinking global trade, intensified Japan's sense of existential anxiety and ultimately became one of the indirect factors pushing it toward war.

50%
Unverified

Paine argues that Japan did not have sufficient military manpower to fight the war to its conclusion, but did assemble sufficient financial resources.

50%
Unverified

Historian Sarah Paine argues that the outcome of the Russo-Japanese War was largely determined by international credit markets rather than the battlefield, and that Russia's fundamental reason for seeking peace was its inability to afford the cost of the war.

50%
Unverified

The conflict escalation chain proposed by Paine: bilateral miscalculation in a civil war → third-party intervention → war escalates into regional and potentially global risk → the winning side overreaches past the culminating point of victory → a third party is triggered to intervene again → the conflict spirals further out of control.

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Sarah Paine is a military historian.

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Sarah Paine is the author of The Wars for Asia

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Sarah Paine is a professor of history at the U.S. Naval War College, specializing in East Asian military history and grand strategy

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Paine argues that Russia gained nothing from the Russo-Japanese War and would have been far better off had it not fought it

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Paine argues that clarity of objectives is itself a core variable of strategic capability, and that the side able to precisely define 'what counts as winning' before a war begins is more likely to succeed

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Sarah Paine argues that whether a war is successful depends not on whether all battles were won, but on whether the goals for which the war was launched were achieved

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